Retailers Face Margin Headwinds as Inventory Swells Ahead of Holidays

CryptoWire
Monday, November 24, 2025 at 5:42pm UTC

✎ Contributed by Ty Griffin

Retailers across the U.S. are heading into the holiday shopping season with high inventory levels, prompting many to turn to aggressive discounting strategies. A combination of over-ordering during the pandemic and shifting consumer demand has left companies with excess goods, forcing markdowns that could pressure margins.

Analysts note that while inflation has begun to ease, shoppers remain price-sensitive, pushing major chains to compete on value. This dynamic has created both challenges and opportunities for retailers looking to clear shelves and entice early holiday spending. Retailers are expected to rely heavily on promotional events such as Black Friday and Cyber Monday to move inventory.

Market Reaction

Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT): $105.06, down $0.26 (0.25%)
Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT): $86.09, down $1.53 (1.75%)
Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST): $887.06, down $11.96 (1.33%)
Macy’s Inc. (NYSE: M): $20.16, up $0.04 (0.20%)
Dollar General Corp. (NYSE: DG): $102.55, up $0.85 (0.84%)

Retailers’ performance in the coming weeks may hinge on their ability to balance discounting with profitability. Investors will be closely watching foot traffic, digital sales trends and inventory turnover as signs of consumer resilience or caution.

If heavy discounting continues to weigh on margins, it could dampen earnings in Q4, even if top-line sales volumes show seasonal strength. The market will be looking for signs of whether retailers can clear out stock efficiently while maintaining pricing discipline.

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